What Oracle deal with ByteDance would mean for you if Trump administration approves it

ByteDance, the Chinese company that owns the popular video-sharing app TikTok, has tapped Oracle as its U.S. technology partner in a bid to keep its U.S. operations going.

So what does that mean for you?

“The impact of the Oracle deal on TikTok users is a difficult question to answer at this point since we don’t have a full picture of what Oracle’s role will be,” said eMarketer analyst Debra Aho Williamson. “The biggest concern that TikTok users have is that the app that they love will continue to exist. That is their ground zero. They love TikTok so much that some TikTok users have changed their location on their phone to Canada so that they won’t lose access to TikTok if it were banned in the U.S.”

Oracle and TikTok tie-up?: ByteDance proposal for TikTok includes Oracle as a ‘trusted technology partner’

TikTok influencer: Addison Rae Easterling to make acting debut in remake of ‘She’s All That’

The Oracle announcement comes a week before the Sept. 20 deadline for ByteDance to sell TikTok to an American company or risk being banned because of national security concerns. With its chummy relationship with the Trump administration, Oracle may have the inside track to get a deal done.

“We can confirm that we’ve submitted a proposal to the Treasury Department which we believe would resolve the Administration’s security concerns,” TikTok said in a statement.

A critical factor will be making sure the technology is safe for users in the U.S. under the proposal, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Monday.

“We’ll be reviewing it with their technical teams and our technical teams to see if they can make the representations that we need,” Mnuchin said.

What would an Oracle deal mean for TikTok users?

If the administration clears the deal, TikTok would continue operating in the U.S. Oracle’s plans for TikTok are unclear at this point, but Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives does not expect much to change for consumers if the deal goes through.

“The average teen or tween using TikTok will not know the difference,” Ives said.

The stakes would be high for Oracle. For its legions of users, TikTok isn’t just flashy entertainment, it’s a vibrant community, Williamson says. “If anything were to change about that experience as a result of Oracle’s involvement, they would be devastated,” she said.

TikTok
TikTok

Analysts say Oracle will need to make sure that the service retains its hold on users and its influencers. In the U.S., it’s estimated that TikTok has more than 100 million monthly active users. 

“We strongly believe that its user base has only grown as a result of stay at home orders and remote learning,” Bernstein analyst Mark Moerdler said in a research note. “But it may also have been negatively impacted by the uncertainty surrounding TikTok’s future.”

Forrester analyst Jeff Pollard says Oracle should allow the U.S. TikTok team to operate independently much like Microsoft did when it acquired LinkedIn. 

What worries the US about TikTok?

TikTok, like other social networks, collects data on its users. Unlike Facebook or Google’s YouTube, TikTok is owned by a Chinese company and has come under scrutiny over allegations it supplies user data to Beijing. TikTok says it does not store U.S. user data in China and would not hand over that data to the Chinese government.

Is Oracle buying TikTok?

No. Microsoft and Walmart were among the bidders to buy TikTok’s U.S. operations, but ByteDance would not part with its secret sauce, the technology that suggests videos to users. China had warned it might block the technology from being exported.

So Oracle struck a deal to be ByteDance’s U.S. technology partner, meaning it will provide back-end technology to TikTok and assuage the Trump administration’s concerns about the security of U.S. users’ data, Ives said.

Walmart on Sunday said it is continuing discussions “with ByteDance leadership and other interested parties.”

“We know that any approved deal must satisfy all regulatory and national security concerns,” Walmart said in a statement.

“TikTok’s back was against the wall. No company is going to buy the company outright without the algorithm,” Ives said. “The alternative was a partnership, and for Oracle, it’s about controlling the inflows and the outflows, making sure there are no backdoors to Beijing and the U.S. government having comfort with Oracle as a trusted vendor and stalwart U.S. technology provider.”

The Treasury Department-led Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States which reviews deals for national security issues must approve the Oracle partnership. What may worry the administration is that Beijing could alter the algorithm to push propaganda.

What is Oracle’s relationship with the Trump administration?

Oracle has a close relationship with the Trump administration and a long track record with the U.S. government that analysts say could help boost the TikTok deal.

Oracle's then-CEO Larry Ellison walks off stage after delivering his keynote address at the 2008 Oracle OpenWorld conference in San Francisco.
Oracle’s then-CEO Larry Ellison walks off stage after delivering his keynote address at the 2008 Oracle OpenWorld conference in San Francisco.

Larry Ellison, Oracle’s co-founder and chairman, has publicly supported Trump and hosted a fundraiser for Trump’s reelection campaign in February. CEO Safra Catz was part of the president’s transition team.

“Larry Ellison has a long history of working with the US government – specifically the intelligence community,” Forrester Research’s Pollard said in a blog post. “Oracle’s first customer was the CIA, and the company is named after a CIA project Ellison and co-founders worked on prior to starting the company.” 

In August, Trump called Oracle a “great company” that “would be certainly somebody that could handle it.” 

What does Oracle get out of a TikTok deal?

“I doubt that many of the youthful users of TikTok know what Oracle is or even care very much,” said eMarketer’s Williamson. 

Oracle is an enterprise software and cloud services company. Pollard says Oracle is frustrated at lagging behind competitors Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Alibaba Cloud and Google Cloud so it’s been pushing to win over more business customers and increase its “hip factor” by doing deals with well-known brands like Zoom. With 800 million users globally and 100 million in the U.S., “nothing is more hip than TikTok at the moment,” Pollard says.

Some of the moves that Bernstein’s Moerdler anticipates: TikTok would move to the Oracle Cloud. Another key point: A TikTok deal would also benefit Oracle’s digital advertising business as well as its e-commerce business. 

What are the privacy concerns of an Oracle deal?

Some in the Trump administration worry that a technology partnership does not adequately protect the data of U.S. users.

And late Monday, Sen. Josh Hawley (R.-Mo.), in a letter to Secretary Mnuchin, urged the Committee on Foreign Investment to reject the partnership, saying that ByteDance doesn’t plan to relinquish control, in violation of the president’s executive order. 

“ByteDance can still pursue a full sale of TikTok, its code, and its algorithm to a U.S. company, so that the app can be rebuilt from the ground up to remove any trace of (Chinese Communisty Party) influence. Or perhaps, given constraints imposed by Chinese law, the only feasible way to maintain Americans’ security is to effectively ban the TikTok app in the United States altogether. In any event, an ongoing ‘partnership’ that allows for anything other than the full emancipation of the TikTok software from potential Chinese Communist Party control is completely unacceptable, and flatly inconsistent with the President’s Executive Order of August 6.”

The other issue is whether Oracle, which already collects so much data on Americans, would pose a privacy threat of its own, particularly to younger TikTok users, privacy watchdogs say.

“Unless the Trump Administration imposes safeguards for the deal, handing TikTok over to Oracle will unleash major new threats to the privacy of Americans,” said Jeffrey Chester, executive director of the Center for Digital Democracy. “Oracle has assembled a powerful array of data companies that already collects information on what we buy, shop, view, etc. By turning over the treasure trove of data gathered by TikTok, Oracle will be able to leverage its data so it can better track and target U.S. consumers.”

In addition, Chester says he has warned the Federal Trade Commission and the Justice Department that he believes TikTok is violating privacy laws that shield children 12 and under in the U.S.

“It would be tragic if the Trump White House allowed Oracle to operate TikTok and not first have to comply with the kids’ data law,” Chester said.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Oracle TikTok: What this deal means for you if Trump approves it

Source Article